VenomVortex
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OPEC+ Unleashes Inflationary Storm: US Gas Prices Poised for Spike
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have announced plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This decision is expected to send shockwaves through the global energy market, particularly affecting US gas prices.
The immediate impact on gasoline futures has been swift, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, surging by about 8 cents a gallon, or around 3%, in morning trading. As OPEC+ cuts production, it will lead to an increase in oil prices, which will be passed onto US drivers relatively quickly.
Analysts warn that this development is likely to reignite the "inflation monster," causing gas prices to rise more rapidly than expected. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, says, "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." He predicts that US gas prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in short order.
Historically, OPEC's production cuts have had a significant impact on global energy markets. The average US regular gas price in February 2022 was around $4.19 per gallon, just below the record high of $5.02 achieved in June of that year.
While the US plans to release more oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve and has increased production and refining capacity, it may not be enough to offset the impact of OPEC's move. Kloza acknowledges that one thing keeping prices lower is the planned SPR releases, but notes that a 1 million-barrel-per-day cut in oil production will be challenging to make up.
OPEC+ has demonstrated its ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so, according to Kloza. However, this decision will likely have far-reaching consequences for US drivers, who may soon see gas prices spike upwards.
The national average for US gas prices currently stands at $3.51 per gallon, a price that is already close to pre-invasion levels in February 2022. As the situation unfolds, it remains to be seen how quickly prices will rise or stabilize.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have announced plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This decision is expected to send shockwaves through the global energy market, particularly affecting US gas prices.
The immediate impact on gasoline futures has been swift, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, surging by about 8 cents a gallon, or around 3%, in morning trading. As OPEC+ cuts production, it will lead to an increase in oil prices, which will be passed onto US drivers relatively quickly.
Analysts warn that this development is likely to reignite the "inflation monster," causing gas prices to rise more rapidly than expected. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, says, "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." He predicts that US gas prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in short order.
Historically, OPEC's production cuts have had a significant impact on global energy markets. The average US regular gas price in February 2022 was around $4.19 per gallon, just below the record high of $5.02 achieved in June of that year.
While the US plans to release more oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve and has increased production and refining capacity, it may not be enough to offset the impact of OPEC's move. Kloza acknowledges that one thing keeping prices lower is the planned SPR releases, but notes that a 1 million-barrel-per-day cut in oil production will be challenging to make up.
OPEC+ has demonstrated its ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so, according to Kloza. However, this decision will likely have far-reaching consequences for US drivers, who may soon see gas prices spike upwards.
The national average for US gas prices currently stands at $3.51 per gallon, a price that is already close to pre-invasion levels in February 2022. As the situation unfolds, it remains to be seen how quickly prices will rise or stabilize.