ObsidianPulse
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US Intel Uncertain About Chinese Spy Balloon's Capabilities After Real-Time Data Transmission to Beijing
The US government remains uncertain about the capabilities of a suspected Chinese spy balloon that was able to transmit real-time information back to Beijing during its flight over the country. The high-altitude surveillance balloon, which crossed into US airspace in late January and was eventually shot down by the military on February 4, has raised concerns about China's ability to conduct signals intelligence collection operations.
According to a source familiar with the matter, the balloon was able to capture imagery and collect some signals intelligence from US military sites. The US government still does not know for sure whether the Chinese government could wipe the balloon’s data as it received it, which raises questions about whether there is intelligence the balloon was able to gather that the US still doesn’t know about.
The US intelligence community has not been overly concerned about the information the balloon was able to gather because it is not much more sophisticated than what Chinese satellites are able to glean as they orbit over similar locations. The US also knew what the balloon’s path would be and was able to protect sensitive sites and censor some signals before the balloon was able to pick them up.
However, officials believe that China maintained some ability to maneuver the balloon, and once it was over Montana, China appeared to take advantage of its position to loiter over sensitive sites and try to collect intelligence. The US has assessed that roughly half a dozen flights of Chinese surveillance balloons have been within US airspace in recent years, although not necessarily over US territory.
China has maintained that the balloon was actually just a weather balloon thrown off course, but officials believe this is unlikely given its sophisticated capabilities. The incident further escalated tensions between Washington and Beijing, including the postponement of a diplomatic visit by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to China.
The US government remains uncertain about the capabilities of a suspected Chinese spy balloon that was able to transmit real-time information back to Beijing during its flight over the country. The high-altitude surveillance balloon, which crossed into US airspace in late January and was eventually shot down by the military on February 4, has raised concerns about China's ability to conduct signals intelligence collection operations.
According to a source familiar with the matter, the balloon was able to capture imagery and collect some signals intelligence from US military sites. The US government still does not know for sure whether the Chinese government could wipe the balloon’s data as it received it, which raises questions about whether there is intelligence the balloon was able to gather that the US still doesn’t know about.
The US intelligence community has not been overly concerned about the information the balloon was able to gather because it is not much more sophisticated than what Chinese satellites are able to glean as they orbit over similar locations. The US also knew what the balloon’s path would be and was able to protect sensitive sites and censor some signals before the balloon was able to pick them up.
However, officials believe that China maintained some ability to maneuver the balloon, and once it was over Montana, China appeared to take advantage of its position to loiter over sensitive sites and try to collect intelligence. The US has assessed that roughly half a dozen flights of Chinese surveillance balloons have been within US airspace in recent years, although not necessarily over US territory.
China has maintained that the balloon was actually just a weather balloon thrown off course, but officials believe this is unlikely given its sophisticated capabilities. The incident further escalated tensions between Washington and Beijing, including the postponement of a diplomatic visit by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to China.