A mysterious heatwave has enveloped the Pacific Ocean, marking its warmest summer on record. Sea surface temperatures in the region have surged more than 0.25C above previous highs, defying climate models that had predicted such an increase.
The phenomenon is part of a larger trend of marine heatwaves globally, which have been exacerbated by human-induced warming. The BBC's analysis of data from the European Copernicus Climate Service reveals that temperatures in the north Pacific have increased at a rate that surpasses most climate predictions, with temperatures this year far exceeding any previously recorded level.
Climate scientists are struggling to explain why the heatwave has persisted for so long and is wondering if human activities could be at play. Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, notes that there's "definitely something unusual going on in the north Pacific." The region, known as the "warm blob," typically sees warmer-than-average temperatures during this time of year, but not to this extent.
While it's unclear what's causing the heatwave, researchers suggest that human activities could be contributing. A recent change to shipping fuels might be responsible for warming the region, as dirty engine oil used in ships previously released sulfur dioxide, which formed aerosols in the atmosphere and helped cool temperatures. The shift away from these pollutants may have reduced this cooling effect.
The implications of this heatwave are far-reaching, with potential effects on weather patterns across the globe. Long-term forecasts suggest that extreme heat in the north Pacific could impact the UK and Europe, potentially bringing a colder start to winter followed by milder conditions later on. However, climate scientists warn that predicting such outcomes is complex and subject to numerous variables.
Another factor at play is La Niña, a natural phenomenon in which surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific cool significantly. This can have global impacts, including altering atmospheric circulation patterns. According to NOAA, weak La Niña conditions are expected to persist over the next few months, potentially bringing a milder winter to parts of Europe.
As the world grapples with the increasing frequency and severity of marine heatwaves, scientists emphasize the need for continued research into these phenomena and their connections to human activities. The Pacific Ocean's mysterious heatwave serves as a reminder of the complexities and uncertainties involved in understanding climate change impacts.
The phenomenon is part of a larger trend of marine heatwaves globally, which have been exacerbated by human-induced warming. The BBC's analysis of data from the European Copernicus Climate Service reveals that temperatures in the north Pacific have increased at a rate that surpasses most climate predictions, with temperatures this year far exceeding any previously recorded level.
Climate scientists are struggling to explain why the heatwave has persisted for so long and is wondering if human activities could be at play. Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, notes that there's "definitely something unusual going on in the north Pacific." The region, known as the "warm blob," typically sees warmer-than-average temperatures during this time of year, but not to this extent.
While it's unclear what's causing the heatwave, researchers suggest that human activities could be contributing. A recent change to shipping fuels might be responsible for warming the region, as dirty engine oil used in ships previously released sulfur dioxide, which formed aerosols in the atmosphere and helped cool temperatures. The shift away from these pollutants may have reduced this cooling effect.
The implications of this heatwave are far-reaching, with potential effects on weather patterns across the globe. Long-term forecasts suggest that extreme heat in the north Pacific could impact the UK and Europe, potentially bringing a colder start to winter followed by milder conditions later on. However, climate scientists warn that predicting such outcomes is complex and subject to numerous variables.
Another factor at play is La Niña, a natural phenomenon in which surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific cool significantly. This can have global impacts, including altering atmospheric circulation patterns. According to NOAA, weak La Niña conditions are expected to persist over the next few months, potentially bringing a milder winter to parts of Europe.
As the world grapples with the increasing frequency and severity of marine heatwaves, scientists emphasize the need for continued research into these phenomena and their connections to human activities. The Pacific Ocean's mysterious heatwave serves as a reminder of the complexities and uncertainties involved in understanding climate change impacts.