'Keep on dreaming': could Europe really defend itself without the US?

Europe's Defiance: Can It Really Stand Alone Without the US?

The alliance of Nato, led by the United States, has long been a cornerstone of European defense. However, in recent years, there have been increasing calls for Europe to take control of its own security and defend itself without the US.

In a blunt statement, Mark Rutte, the Nato Secretary General, made it clear that "if anyone thinks that the European Union or Europe as a whole can defend itself without the US, keep on dreaming. You can't. We can't." Rutte's comments echoed those of other senior officials, including Kaja Kallas, the EU's foreign policy chief, who stated that Europe must step up and take charge of its own security.

But the question remains: can Europe really defend itself without the US? The answer is not a simple yes or no. While there have been significant increases in European defense spending, much of this spending is still tied to Nato's regional capability plans, which rely heavily on US contributions.

The problem runs deeper than just national industrial rivalries. According to Sophia Besch, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, "the key question here is who is Europe, what is Europe, and then what are we actually trying to do?" Europe needs to figure out its own strategic interests, such as developing a European version of nuclear deterrence or safeguarding its interests in regions from the Arctic to the Pacific.

The challenge is not just about replacing US capabilities with European ones but also about figuring out what Europe wants to achieve without relying on the US. As Besch noted, "my fear is that we are still caught up in this conversation around 'can we replace the US', rather than trying to decide what are we actually trying to do without them."

Europe's defense strategy will likely involve a mix of old and new capabilities, including economic, political, and security deterrence. But it will also require significant investment and coordination among European countries.

The EU's €800 billion defense spending plan is a step in the right direction, but more needs to be done to address the fragmented nature of European defense spending. Duplication of systems and costs can hinder effectiveness on the battlefield, as illustrated by the troubled €100 billion Franco-German fighter jet project.

Ultimately, Europe's ability to stand alone without the US will depend on its ability to develop a cohesive strategy and invest in new capabilities that are tailored to its own needs and interests. While there are significant challenges ahead, it is clear that Europe must take control of its own security and defense if it hopes to maintain its influence and sovereignty in an increasingly complex world.

But can Europe really do this? The answer is complicated, and the road ahead will be long and difficult. As Rutte so bluntly stated, "if anyone thinks that the European Union or Europe as a whole can defend itself without the US, keep on dreaming. You can't. We can't."
 
I think Europe's got some major growing pains to work out if it wants to stand alone. I mean, let's be real, the EU's defense spending plan is just a drop in the bucket compared to what the US brings to the table. And what about this idea of developing a European version of nuclear deterrence? Sounds like a bunch of pie-in-the-sky nonsense if you ask me 🤔. I think Europe needs to focus on being more strategic and cohesive in its defense efforts, rather than just throwing money at it. We've seen how that's worked out with the Franco-German fighter jet project - not exactly a success story 😐.

And what about Russia? Can Europe really defend itself against Russian aggression without the US? I think it's naive to think that Europe can just stand alone and expect to be taken seriously on the world stage. The US is a major player for a reason, and Europe needs to acknowledge that if it wants to have any real influence in global affairs.

But hey, maybe I'm just cynical 🤷‍♂️. Maybe Europe's got what it takes to stand alone without the US. But until they can convince me otherwise, I'll be skeptical 🙃.
 
So like, I just saw this article about Europe wanting to stand alone without the US and I'm thinking 🤔... stats show that Nato's defense spending has increased by 50% since 2016, with some European countries like the UK and France actually increasing their spending more than others. But, have you seen the chart on European defense budget allocation? It's like, 80% goes to just a handful of countries 📊... not exactly cohesive strategy.

And then there's the whole issue of duplication of systems and costs, like that Franco-German fighter jet project, which cost €100 billion and took over a decade to complete 🚀. Not to mention the UK's decision to leave Nato in 2019, which has created a bit of a void in European defense leadership 🤝.

But what really got me thinking is the difference between strategic interests and actual capabilities. Like, what does Europe want to achieve without the US? Is it just about replacing US capabilities or is there something more at play? I mean, have you seen the latest on China's military modernization efforts? That's some serious competition 🚫.

I think Europe needs to take a step back and re-evaluate its defense strategy. More investment in new capabilities, better coordination among countries, and a clear plan for strategic interests... that's the ticket 📈. But can they really do it without the US? Only time will tell 🕰️.

Here are some stats on European defense spending:

* Nato's total defense budget: $40 billion (2020)
* EU's defense spending plan: €800 billion
* European countries' individual defense spending growth rate (2016-2020):
+ UK: 10%
+ France: 12%
+ Germany: 8%

And some fun facts:

* The US contributes around 70% of Nato's total defense spending.
* The EU's defense spending plan is expected to increase by 20% between 2023 and 2027.
* China's military modernization efforts are expected to reach $256 billion by 2030.
 
🤔 I feel you guys... like what if we can't just copy the US and try to be our own superpower? It's not gonna be easy and it's definitely not gonna be cheap 🤑 But at the same time, Europe needs to take control of its own destiny and figure out what it wants to achieve without relying on someone else. It's like, what if we're trying to solve a problem with the wrong tool? 🤯 We need to invest in our own capabilities and work together as a team, not just play catch-up with the US.

It's scary because there are so many unknowns and uncertainties... but I think that's what makes it so exciting 💥 Can Europe really do this? Maybe we'll surprise ourselves and achieve great things 🤞
 
I think europe's got this 💪 but its gonna be super hard 🤯 they need to figure out what their goals are and invest in new tech and capabilities that dont rely on us 😬 like a euro version of nuclear deterrence would be dope 💥 and yeah, duplicating systems is a major problem 🚫 france & germany can't even get the fighter jet project right 🤦‍♂️ so yeah, europe needs to step up its game but it's not gonna be easy 🌪️
 
🤔 i think europe should try to take care of its own defense, but not in a way where they have to do everything themselves 🚫 it's like trying to build a house with no blueprint - it won't end well 💥 and yeah, duplication of systems is a big problem 📦 if europe wants to stand alone without the us, they need to figure out what their own goals are first 🤔 not just copy-paste nato's strategy 👀 also, i'm not convinced that €800 billion is enough ⏰ more investment and coordination are needed 💸
 
Back
Top