OPEC+ Unleashes Inflationary Pressure: US Gas Prices Poised for Sharp Spike
A surprise move by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production has sent shockwaves throughout global energy markets, with US gas prices expected to take a sharp hit in the coming weeks. The group's decision to cut production by more than 1.6 million barrels per day starting May will be felt at gas pumps across the country, driving up prices and rekindling inflation concerns.
The news has already had an immediate impact on gasoline futures, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, surging by about 8 cents a gallon or 3% in morning trading. This uptick is expected to be passed down to US drivers more quickly than oil prices, leaving many motorists bracing for higher costs at the pump.
Experts warn that OPEC's move could reawaken the inflation monster, with Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, stating, "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." Kloza forecasts US gas prices will reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order, surpassing last year's average price of $4.19 per gallon.
While some experts believe that prices may not reach record levels of 2022 – which saw prices surge to $5.02 a gallon on June 14 – others warn that the impact could be felt for months to come. The potential disruption to production in the Gulf Coast region, particularly due to hurricanes, may also drive up costs.
In contrast to last year's post-Ukraine invasion price spikes, Kloza notes that this time around, one key factor is the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), which has been actively releasing oil to ease prices. Additionally, the country's oil production and refining capacity have increased since 2022. However, OPEC's move remains a significant challenge for policymakers, who must navigate these complex dynamics to stabilize energy markets.
As prices begin to rise, consumers will be forced to confront the reality of higher costs at the pump. While some experts believe that prices may eventually stabilize or decline again, others warn that the impact of OPEC's production cut could be felt for a while, leaving motorists facing significant price hikes in the months ahead.
				
			A surprise move by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production has sent shockwaves throughout global energy markets, with US gas prices expected to take a sharp hit in the coming weeks. The group's decision to cut production by more than 1.6 million barrels per day starting May will be felt at gas pumps across the country, driving up prices and rekindling inflation concerns.
The news has already had an immediate impact on gasoline futures, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, surging by about 8 cents a gallon or 3% in morning trading. This uptick is expected to be passed down to US drivers more quickly than oil prices, leaving many motorists bracing for higher costs at the pump.
Experts warn that OPEC's move could reawaken the inflation monster, with Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, stating, "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." Kloza forecasts US gas prices will reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order, surpassing last year's average price of $4.19 per gallon.
While some experts believe that prices may not reach record levels of 2022 – which saw prices surge to $5.02 a gallon on June 14 – others warn that the impact could be felt for months to come. The potential disruption to production in the Gulf Coast region, particularly due to hurricanes, may also drive up costs.
In contrast to last year's post-Ukraine invasion price spikes, Kloza notes that this time around, one key factor is the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), which has been actively releasing oil to ease prices. Additionally, the country's oil production and refining capacity have increased since 2022. However, OPEC's move remains a significant challenge for policymakers, who must navigate these complex dynamics to stabilize energy markets.
As prices begin to rise, consumers will be forced to confront the reality of higher costs at the pump. While some experts believe that prices may eventually stabilize or decline again, others warn that the impact of OPEC's production cut could be felt for a while, leaving motorists facing significant price hikes in the months ahead.