OPEC+ Steps into the Fray, Pushing US Gas Prices Higher
In a surprise move, OPEC+, a cartel of major oil-producing nations, announced plans to slash its collective oil output by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This reduction will have a ripple effect on global energy markets and ultimately lead to higher gas prices at the pump.
The news has sent shockwaves through the market, with Brent crude futures jumping 6% and US benchmark WTI skyrocketing 5%. Gasoline futures are also expected to rise as OPEC+ cuts begin to be passed down the supply chain. This will result in an immediate increase of around 8 cents per gallon or 3% for RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price.
Energy expert Tom Kloza from OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, warns that this move by OPEC+ could "reawaken the inflation monster" and is likely to shock the White House. According to Kloza, US gas prices are expected to surge to around $3.80-$3.90 per gallon in relatively short order, up from the current national average of $3.51.
The move by OPEC+ will also have a significant impact on the global energy landscape, particularly given the recent disruptions to energy markets caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Kloza notes that while US gas prices were just below pre-pandemic levels in February 2022, this latest development suggests that prices could potentially reach record highs.
However, Kloza remains cautious, suggesting that prices will not rise as high as they did during the pandemic peak of $5 per gallon. Instead, he predicts prices may stabilize at around $3.50-$4.00 per gallon before potentially rising again if there are any further disruptions to energy production, such as a hurricane affecting the Gulf Coast.
Despite the challenges ahead, Kloza attributes OPEC+ ability to cut production and their motivation for doing so, indicating that the impact of this move will be significant in the coming months.
In a surprise move, OPEC+, a cartel of major oil-producing nations, announced plans to slash its collective oil output by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This reduction will have a ripple effect on global energy markets and ultimately lead to higher gas prices at the pump.
The news has sent shockwaves through the market, with Brent crude futures jumping 6% and US benchmark WTI skyrocketing 5%. Gasoline futures are also expected to rise as OPEC+ cuts begin to be passed down the supply chain. This will result in an immediate increase of around 8 cents per gallon or 3% for RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price.
Energy expert Tom Kloza from OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, warns that this move by OPEC+ could "reawaken the inflation monster" and is likely to shock the White House. According to Kloza, US gas prices are expected to surge to around $3.80-$3.90 per gallon in relatively short order, up from the current national average of $3.51.
The move by OPEC+ will also have a significant impact on the global energy landscape, particularly given the recent disruptions to energy markets caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Kloza notes that while US gas prices were just below pre-pandemic levels in February 2022, this latest development suggests that prices could potentially reach record highs.
However, Kloza remains cautious, suggesting that prices will not rise as high as they did during the pandemic peak of $5 per gallon. Instead, he predicts prices may stabilize at around $3.50-$4.00 per gallon before potentially rising again if there are any further disruptions to energy production, such as a hurricane affecting the Gulf Coast.
Despite the challenges ahead, Kloza attributes OPEC+ ability to cut production and their motivation for doing so, indicating that the impact of this move will be significant in the coming months.