OPEC+'s Shocking Move Sends US Gas Prices Soaring
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced yesterday that they will slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This unexpected decision has sent shockwaves through the energy markets, sending Brent crude futures and US benchmark WTI prices up about 6% on Monday.
The impact of this move is already being felt at US gas pumps, with wholesale gasoline prices rising by around 8 cents per gallon or 3%. According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House will likely be shocked and concerned about this development, as it significantly alters the calculus for the US economy.
As a result, national average US gas prices have risen to $3.51 per gallon on Monday, with Kloza predicting that prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order. However, he notes that prices are unlikely to get as high as $5 a gallon, and may even remain below the record-breaking levels seen last year.
The national average gas price of $4.19 per gallon at this time last year was largely driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its impact on global energy markets. Prices eventually reached a record $5.02 per gallon before slowly declining over several months due to various factors, including the release of oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
However, Kloza points out that even at current prices, US gas prices are just below the average price on February 23, 2022, the day before Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The key factor keeping prices in check is the planned additional releases from the SPR and the fact that US oil production and refining capacity have both increased.
Despite this, Kloza notes that a cut of 1 million barrels per day by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset, and suggests that one thing preventing prices from reaching record levels last year was the US's ability to release more oil from the SPR. However, he believes that OPEC has the capacity to cut production and seems motivated to do so.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced yesterday that they will slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This unexpected decision has sent shockwaves through the energy markets, sending Brent crude futures and US benchmark WTI prices up about 6% on Monday.
The impact of this move is already being felt at US gas pumps, with wholesale gasoline prices rising by around 8 cents per gallon or 3%. According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House will likely be shocked and concerned about this development, as it significantly alters the calculus for the US economy.
As a result, national average US gas prices have risen to $3.51 per gallon on Monday, with Kloza predicting that prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order. However, he notes that prices are unlikely to get as high as $5 a gallon, and may even remain below the record-breaking levels seen last year.
The national average gas price of $4.19 per gallon at this time last year was largely driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its impact on global energy markets. Prices eventually reached a record $5.02 per gallon before slowly declining over several months due to various factors, including the release of oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
However, Kloza points out that even at current prices, US gas prices are just below the average price on February 23, 2022, the day before Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The key factor keeping prices in check is the planned additional releases from the SPR and the fact that US oil production and refining capacity have both increased.
Despite this, Kloza notes that a cut of 1 million barrels per day by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset, and suggests that one thing preventing prices from reaching record levels last year was the US's ability to release more oil from the SPR. However, he believes that OPEC has the capacity to cut production and seems motivated to do so.