Germany's economic woes show no signs of abating under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Just six months into his term, the usually optimistic financial markets are gripped by renewed anxiety over the country's growth prospects.
Merz's plan to boost defence spending and invest €500 billion in infrastructure and the green transition was seen as a bold response to Germany's economic stagnation and shifting global landscape. However, recent downgrades of growth forecasts to below 1% for 2026 have cast a cloud over his administration's efforts.
Critics argue that lifting Germany's "debt brake" was never going to be an instant panacea for the country's longstanding problems, and patience is now in short supply among voters. The far-right Alternative für Deutschland party's rise to the top of the polls has highlighted disillusionment with mainstream politics, which sees stagnating living standards since the 2008 crash.
As Russia's war in Ukraine, aggressive Chinese competition, and Mr Trump's trade wars continue to undermine Europe's prosperity, Merz is under pressure to rein in social spending. This would be a reversal of his fiscal hawk reputation and would likely spark a revolt from his Social Democratic coalition partners.
The imperatives of the age are for Germany – and Europe as a whole – to revive a battered and bruised social model and turbocharge investment in a multipolar world. However, falling back on failed economic orthodoxies would only empower the far right, which has gained ground during austerity years following the crash.
Merz's first six months in office have been difficult, but Germany cannot afford to go back to the future. The country needs bold action to address its economic stagnation and social discontent – not a return to outdated fiscal policies that have already failed.
Merz's plan to boost defence spending and invest €500 billion in infrastructure and the green transition was seen as a bold response to Germany's economic stagnation and shifting global landscape. However, recent downgrades of growth forecasts to below 1% for 2026 have cast a cloud over his administration's efforts.
Critics argue that lifting Germany's "debt brake" was never going to be an instant panacea for the country's longstanding problems, and patience is now in short supply among voters. The far-right Alternative für Deutschland party's rise to the top of the polls has highlighted disillusionment with mainstream politics, which sees stagnating living standards since the 2008 crash.
As Russia's war in Ukraine, aggressive Chinese competition, and Mr Trump's trade wars continue to undermine Europe's prosperity, Merz is under pressure to rein in social spending. This would be a reversal of his fiscal hawk reputation and would likely spark a revolt from his Social Democratic coalition partners.
The imperatives of the age are for Germany – and Europe as a whole – to revive a battered and bruised social model and turbocharge investment in a multipolar world. However, falling back on failed economic orthodoxies would only empower the far right, which has gained ground during austerity years following the crash.
Merz's first six months in office have been difficult, but Germany cannot afford to go back to the future. The country needs bold action to address its economic stagnation and social discontent – not a return to outdated fiscal policies that have already failed.