StealthSnax
Well-known member
Vladimir Putin's visit to Hungary may not be as straightforward as it appears. The Russian president's trip to meet US counterpart Donald Trump is set to take place despite an International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant issued in 2023 for Putin over alleged war crimes, including the illegal deportation of Ukrainian children during Russia's conflict with Ukraine.
The ICC has 125 member states that are required by law to arrest individuals subject to a warrant as soon as they enter their territory. However, Hungary, which is hosting Putin, has announced its intention to withdraw from the Rome Statute, which established the Hague-based court in 2002. This move would render Hungary responsible for arresting Putin, but it's unclear if the country will follow through on its threat.
One potential route for Putin could be flying over Georgia or Turkey, both of which have signed up to the Rome Statute but may turn a blind eye. Alternatively, Putin might take a more circuitous route, avoiding countries like France and Spain, which have been wary of hosting him due to the ICC warrant.
It's worth noting that Putin has limited his travels since becoming an internationally wanted war criminal, opting for destinations with friendly relations with Russia or those that do not recognize the ICC. For example, he visited Mongolia recently, where he was treated to a lavish ceremony featuring soldiers on horseback by Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh.
The capture of Putin is almost inconceivable, and it's unclear whether any country would be willing to take on that risk. However, the ICC arrest warrant marks an important step towards eventual trial, and some national leaders have faced justice in The Hague before.
One possibility is that a future Russian leader might decide to forcibly hand Putin over for prosecution at the ICC, similar to what happened with Serbia's Slobodan Milosevic. However, this would necessitate a significant shift in the Kremlin's power dynamic, which seems unlikely for the time being.
Ultimately, Putin's visit to Hungary and his meeting with Trump may be more of a symbolic gesture than a concrete effort to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. The ICC arrest warrant remains an important development, but it's unclear what consequences will come from it โ at least not yet.
The ICC has 125 member states that are required by law to arrest individuals subject to a warrant as soon as they enter their territory. However, Hungary, which is hosting Putin, has announced its intention to withdraw from the Rome Statute, which established the Hague-based court in 2002. This move would render Hungary responsible for arresting Putin, but it's unclear if the country will follow through on its threat.
One potential route for Putin could be flying over Georgia or Turkey, both of which have signed up to the Rome Statute but may turn a blind eye. Alternatively, Putin might take a more circuitous route, avoiding countries like France and Spain, which have been wary of hosting him due to the ICC warrant.
It's worth noting that Putin has limited his travels since becoming an internationally wanted war criminal, opting for destinations with friendly relations with Russia or those that do not recognize the ICC. For example, he visited Mongolia recently, where he was treated to a lavish ceremony featuring soldiers on horseback by Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh.
The capture of Putin is almost inconceivable, and it's unclear whether any country would be willing to take on that risk. However, the ICC arrest warrant marks an important step towards eventual trial, and some national leaders have faced justice in The Hague before.
One possibility is that a future Russian leader might decide to forcibly hand Putin over for prosecution at the ICC, similar to what happened with Serbia's Slobodan Milosevic. However, this would necessitate a significant shift in the Kremlin's power dynamic, which seems unlikely for the time being.
Ultimately, Putin's visit to Hungary and his meeting with Trump may be more of a symbolic gesture than a concrete effort to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. The ICC arrest warrant remains an important development, but it's unclear what consequences will come from it โ at least not yet.