OPEC+ Cracks Open the Lid on Higher US Gas Prices Amid Global Oil Production Cuts
In a surprise move, OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries, announced Sunday that it will slash global oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May and ending in December. The news has sent shockwaves through the energy market, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, jumping up about 6% in trading on Monday.
The immediate impact of this move is already being felt at US gas pumps. Gasoline futures prices have surged, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, increasing by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading. This will be passed onto US drivers much more quickly than the spike in oil prices.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House will likely be shocked and concerned by this development, as it alters the calculus for a while. Kloza predicts that US gas prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
The national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51 on Monday, according to AAA. While some are optimistic that prices may not get back to record levels of 2022, when gas prices reached as high as $5 a gallon, others believe that the impact of this move will be felt for several months.
One factor that could mitigate the effects of this move is the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The SPR has been releasing oil in recent months to stabilize the market. Additionally, US oil production and refining capacity have both increased, which should help offset some of the cuts made by OPEC+.
However, Kloza notes that a cut of 1 million barrels per day of oil by OPEC+ will not be easy to make up. Despite this, he believes that OPEC+ has the ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so.
As a result, US gas prices are likely to continue their upward trend in the coming months. While it's difficult to predict exactly when prices will peak, experts agree that we can expect to see higher prices for several months.
In a surprise move, OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries, announced Sunday that it will slash global oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May and ending in December. The news has sent shockwaves through the energy market, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, jumping up about 6% in trading on Monday.
The immediate impact of this move is already being felt at US gas pumps. Gasoline futures prices have surged, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, increasing by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading. This will be passed onto US drivers much more quickly than the spike in oil prices.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House will likely be shocked and concerned by this development, as it alters the calculus for a while. Kloza predicts that US gas prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
The national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51 on Monday, according to AAA. While some are optimistic that prices may not get back to record levels of 2022, when gas prices reached as high as $5 a gallon, others believe that the impact of this move will be felt for several months.
One factor that could mitigate the effects of this move is the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The SPR has been releasing oil in recent months to stabilize the market. Additionally, US oil production and refining capacity have both increased, which should help offset some of the cuts made by OPEC+.
However, Kloza notes that a cut of 1 million barrels per day of oil by OPEC+ will not be easy to make up. Despite this, he believes that OPEC+ has the ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so.
As a result, US gas prices are likely to continue their upward trend in the coming months. While it's difficult to predict exactly when prices will peak, experts agree that we can expect to see higher prices for several months.