OPEC+ Steps into the Fray, Fueling US Gas Price Surge
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have made a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May, with the aim of running through the end of the year. This decision has sent shockwaves throughout the global energy market, causing Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, to surge by approximately 6% in trading Monday.
The immediate impact of this move is already being felt at gas pumps across the United States, with gasoline futures experiencing a significant spike of about 8 cents per gallon, or around 3%. This increase will be passed on to US drivers much more quickly than the corresponding spike in oil prices.
Energy analysts are predicting that OPEC's production cut will have a substantial impact on US gas prices. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes that OPEC is "rewakening the inflation monster" and has left the White House with little choice but to take immediate action.
Currently, the national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. Kloza forecasts that this price could rise to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order, fueled by OPEC's production cut. While he rules out prices reaching as high as $4 or $5 a gallon, he notes that US drivers may see gas prices return to year-earlier levels towards the end of summer if there are disruptions to production along the Gulf Coast.
It is worth noting that OPEC's production cut comes on the heels of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its subsequent impact on global energy markets. A year ago, the average US regular gas price was $4.19 per gallon, with prices eventually reaching a record high of $5.02 in June 2022 before beginning a decline.
The fact that OPEC has the ability to cut production and is motivated to do so bodes ill for US drivers. Kloza believes that the group's action will not be easy to offset, given the current level of oil reserves in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the country's increasing oil production capacity.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have made a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May, with the aim of running through the end of the year. This decision has sent shockwaves throughout the global energy market, causing Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, to surge by approximately 6% in trading Monday.
The immediate impact of this move is already being felt at gas pumps across the United States, with gasoline futures experiencing a significant spike of about 8 cents per gallon, or around 3%. This increase will be passed on to US drivers much more quickly than the corresponding spike in oil prices.
Energy analysts are predicting that OPEC's production cut will have a substantial impact on US gas prices. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes that OPEC is "rewakening the inflation monster" and has left the White House with little choice but to take immediate action.
Currently, the national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. Kloza forecasts that this price could rise to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order, fueled by OPEC's production cut. While he rules out prices reaching as high as $4 or $5 a gallon, he notes that US drivers may see gas prices return to year-earlier levels towards the end of summer if there are disruptions to production along the Gulf Coast.
It is worth noting that OPEC's production cut comes on the heels of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and its subsequent impact on global energy markets. A year ago, the average US regular gas price was $4.19 per gallon, with prices eventually reaching a record high of $5.02 in June 2022 before beginning a decline.
The fact that OPEC has the ability to cut production and is motivated to do so bodes ill for US drivers. Kloza believes that the group's action will not be easy to offset, given the current level of oil reserves in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the country's increasing oil production capacity.