US Gas Prices Poised for Sharp Increase as OPEC+ Cuts Oil Production
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has announced a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and running through the end of the year. The news sent shockwaves through the global energy market, with Brent crude futures rising about 6% and WTI futures jumping around 5%. As a result, gasoline prices in the US are expected to surge, with wholesale gas prices up around 8 cents per gallon - a 3% increase.
Analysts say that OPEC's move is likely to reignite inflation concerns, particularly in the US. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at OPIS, warned that the White House will be "major-time pissed" about the development, as it alters the economic calculus. With US gas prices currently standing at $3.51 per gallon, Kloza predicts that prices could rise to around $3.80-$3.90 in relatively short order.
While some experts argue that the US won't see record-high gas prices like those reached in June 2022, when oil costs $5 a barrel, others caution that the market is highly volatile and subject to various disruptions, such as hurricane-related storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast. By the end of summer, Kloza believes that US drivers could be back above year-earlier prices.
Notably, despite concerns about potential price spikes, gas prices in the US are still relatively low compared to a year ago - with an average of $4.19 per gallon at that time. However, analysts like Kloza point out that even at lower levels, such as $3.51, US gas prices were still above pre-war levels, driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the resulting supply chain disruptions.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has announced a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and running through the end of the year. The news sent shockwaves through the global energy market, with Brent crude futures rising about 6% and WTI futures jumping around 5%. As a result, gasoline prices in the US are expected to surge, with wholesale gas prices up around 8 cents per gallon - a 3% increase.
Analysts say that OPEC's move is likely to reignite inflation concerns, particularly in the US. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at OPIS, warned that the White House will be "major-time pissed" about the development, as it alters the economic calculus. With US gas prices currently standing at $3.51 per gallon, Kloza predicts that prices could rise to around $3.80-$3.90 in relatively short order.
While some experts argue that the US won't see record-high gas prices like those reached in June 2022, when oil costs $5 a barrel, others caution that the market is highly volatile and subject to various disruptions, such as hurricane-related storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast. By the end of summer, Kloza believes that US drivers could be back above year-earlier prices.
Notably, despite concerns about potential price spikes, gas prices in the US are still relatively low compared to a year ago - with an average of $4.19 per gallon at that time. However, analysts like Kloza point out that even at lower levels, such as $3.51, US gas prices were still above pre-war levels, driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the resulting supply chain disruptions.