OPEC+ Takes a Sharp Cut in Oil Production, Expected to Send US Gas Prices Soaring
In a move that's sending shockwaves through the global energy market, OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it will cut oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels per day starting May and running until the end of the year. The decision is expected to have an immediate impact on gasoline futures, leading to a surge in US gas prices.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House has likely taken notice, and with oil prices rising by about 6% in trading on Monday, US drivers can expect to see a significant increase in gas prices.
The national average for US gas prices currently stands at $3.51, but Kloza predicts that it could reach levels of $3.80 to $3.90 in the coming weeks. He notes that while prices may not return to record highs seen last year ($5.02 per gallon), they could potentially climb back above year-earlier prices by the end of summer if global production disruptions or storms affecting Gulf Coast production occur.
In comparison, gas prices were relatively stable just a few months ago, with the national average hovering around $3.53 on February 23, 2022, before Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves through the energy market and prices skyrocketed.
Kloza acknowledges that OPEC+ has the ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so, but notes that making up for this reduction will not be easy. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is set to make additional releases, while domestic oil production and refining capacity have also increased since last year's price surge.
In a move that's sending shockwaves through the global energy market, OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it will cut oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels per day starting May and running until the end of the year. The decision is expected to have an immediate impact on gasoline futures, leading to a surge in US gas prices.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House has likely taken notice, and with oil prices rising by about 6% in trading on Monday, US drivers can expect to see a significant increase in gas prices.
The national average for US gas prices currently stands at $3.51, but Kloza predicts that it could reach levels of $3.80 to $3.90 in the coming weeks. He notes that while prices may not return to record highs seen last year ($5.02 per gallon), they could potentially climb back above year-earlier prices by the end of summer if global production disruptions or storms affecting Gulf Coast production occur.
In comparison, gas prices were relatively stable just a few months ago, with the national average hovering around $3.53 on February 23, 2022, before Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves through the energy market and prices skyrocketed.
Kloza acknowledges that OPEC+ has the ability to cut production and seems motivated to do so, but notes that making up for this reduction will not be easy. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is set to make additional releases, while domestic oil production and refining capacity have also increased since last year's price surge.