US Gas Prices Set to Rise as OPEC+ Announces Production Cut
A surprise move by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production will likely lead to higher US gas prices in the coming months. The group announced on Sunday that it would cut oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels a day starting May and running through December.
The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, causing Brent crude futures to jump about 6% in trading Monday, while WTI futures also saw significant gains. The impact will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later, with some analysts predicting a spike in gasoline prices by the end of the week.
"This is reawakening the inflation monster," said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA. "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." The current national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but Kloza expects it could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
The cut in oil production will not only push up gas prices but also impact the overall energy market. While some analysts believe that the US is unlikely to see gas prices reach record levels of $5 a gallon, Kloza notes that there could be an exception if a hurricane or other storms affect production along the Gulf Coast.
In contrast to last year's prices, which were driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent energy market disruptions, the current surge in US gas prices is largely due to OPEC+'s decision. Even at $3.51, US gas prices are still higher than they were on February 23, 2022, when the national average was $3.53.
The reason for this increased pressure lies not with the US's own energy production but rather in global supply and demand dynamics. As Kloza noted, the US plans additional releases from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which has helped to stabilize prices. However, OPEC+'s move to cut oil production will make it more challenging to offset these losses.
"Their ability to cut production is not going to be easy to make up," said Kloza. Nonetheless, he believes that OPEC+ seems motivated to reduce output and notes that the US's own energy sector has some advantages that could help mitigate the impact of this move.
A surprise move by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production will likely lead to higher US gas prices in the coming months. The group announced on Sunday that it would cut oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels a day starting May and running through December.
The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, causing Brent crude futures to jump about 6% in trading Monday, while WTI futures also saw significant gains. The impact will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later, with some analysts predicting a spike in gasoline prices by the end of the week.
"This is reawakening the inflation monster," said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA. "The White House has to be shocked and major-time pissed. It certainly alters the calculus for a while." The current national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but Kloza expects it could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order.
The cut in oil production will not only push up gas prices but also impact the overall energy market. While some analysts believe that the US is unlikely to see gas prices reach record levels of $5 a gallon, Kloza notes that there could be an exception if a hurricane or other storms affect production along the Gulf Coast.
In contrast to last year's prices, which were driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent energy market disruptions, the current surge in US gas prices is largely due to OPEC+'s decision. Even at $3.51, US gas prices are still higher than they were on February 23, 2022, when the national average was $3.53.
The reason for this increased pressure lies not with the US's own energy production but rather in global supply and demand dynamics. As Kloza noted, the US plans additional releases from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which has helped to stabilize prices. However, OPEC+'s move to cut oil production will make it more challenging to offset these losses.
"Their ability to cut production is not going to be easy to make up," said Kloza. Nonetheless, he believes that OPEC+ seems motivated to reduce output and notes that the US's own energy sector has some advantages that could help mitigate the impact of this move.