US Gas Prices Set for Surge as OPEC+ Unleashes Production Cut
In a move that's sending shockwaves through the global energy market, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has announced plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and running until the end of the year. The decision is expected to have an immediate impact on gasoline prices, which will be passed onto US drivers at a faster pace than oil prices.
The cut in oil production has triggered a sharp increase in both Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, with prices rising by around 6% in trading Monday. Gasoline futures are also up, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, increasing by about 8 cents per gallon – or 3% – in morning trading.
Energy analysts are warning that this move could reignite inflationary pressures, particularly at US gas pumps. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes OPEC's decision "could be reawakening the inflation monster". He notes that the White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this move.
According to Kloza, US gas prices are already on track to rise significantly, with a national average of $3.51 per gallon as of Monday. He expects prices could reach up to $3.80 or $3.90 in relatively short order, driven by the reduced oil supply and increasing demand for gasoline.
While some experts believe that prices may not reach record levels seen in 2022 – when gas prices peaked at around $5 a gallon – others predict that US drivers may see higher prices again later this summer if there are disruptions to production along the Gulf Coast. Kloza notes, however, that even if prices do rise, they will likely stabilize before reaching year-earlier levels.
The decision by OPEC+ to cut oil production has been attributed to a desire to manage global energy markets and reduce volatility. However, for US drivers, the impact of this move is already being felt at the pump.
In a move that's sending shockwaves through the global energy market, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has announced plans to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May and running until the end of the year. The decision is expected to have an immediate impact on gasoline prices, which will be passed onto US drivers at a faster pace than oil prices.
The cut in oil production has triggered a sharp increase in both Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, with prices rising by around 6% in trading Monday. Gasoline futures are also up, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, increasing by about 8 cents per gallon – or 3% – in morning trading.
Energy analysts are warning that this move could reignite inflationary pressures, particularly at US gas pumps. Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, believes OPEC's decision "could be reawakening the inflation monster". He notes that the White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this move.
According to Kloza, US gas prices are already on track to rise significantly, with a national average of $3.51 per gallon as of Monday. He expects prices could reach up to $3.80 or $3.90 in relatively short order, driven by the reduced oil supply and increasing demand for gasoline.
While some experts believe that prices may not reach record levels seen in 2022 – when gas prices peaked at around $5 a gallon – others predict that US drivers may see higher prices again later this summer if there are disruptions to production along the Gulf Coast. Kloza notes, however, that even if prices do rise, they will likely stabilize before reaching year-earlier levels.
The decision by OPEC+ to cut oil production has been attributed to a desire to manage global energy markets and reduce volatility. However, for US drivers, the impact of this move is already being felt at the pump.