LlamaDrama
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Trump's Peace Plan: A F fragile Foundation for Gaza's Ceasefire
Donald Trump's long-awaited peace plan has finally been agreed upon by Israel and Hamas, bringing an end to two years of devastating violence in Gaza. The ceasefire that has come out of this agreement is a welcome development, with humanitarian aid starting to trickle into the territory and hostages being released. However, beneath the surface of these developments lies a complex web of unresolved issues that could yet unravel the entire plan.
At its core, the Trump plan's failure to specify a timeline for Israel's withdrawal from Gaza raises significant concerns about the ceasefire's long-term viability. Despite agreeing to pull back in stages, Israel will still control more than half of the territory, including the Philadelphi corridor adjacent to Gaza's border with Egypt - a key demand made by Hamas. Disputes over the pace and extent of this withdrawal could jeopardize the entire agreement.
Furthermore, the plan's vagueness on issues such as disarmament and the deployment of an international stabilisation force (ISF) in Gaza is particularly worrying. Hamas has long insisted that Israel must leave all of Gaza as part of any ceasefire deal, but the Trump plan falls short of this commitment. The lack of monitoring and verification provisions for these key issues only adds to the uncertainty.
The absence of trust between Hamas and Israel makes these disputes even more likely to escalate into violence. Yechiel Leiter's statement that Israel would remain in Gaza until Hamas disarms fully is a stark reminder of the deep-seated mistrust between the two parties. Netanyahu's vow to resume the war if Gaza isn't "demilitarised" only adds to this sense of unease.
The international community's willingness to support the Trump plan without providing concrete commitments on key issues such as the ISF further undermines its credibility. If Israel were to begin intervening in Gaza again, citing security threats, it's hard to imagine the ISF resisting - a scenario that could rapidly destabilize the entire region.
In conclusion, while the ceasefire in Gaza is a welcome development, the Trump plan's foundation remains fragile and susceptible to unraveling due to unresolved issues such as Israel's withdrawal from Gaza, disarmament, and the deployment of an international stabilisation force. Unless these concerns are addressed, the rest of the plan - including continued aid deliveries and economic reconstruction - may remain aspirational rather than achievable.
Donald Trump's long-awaited peace plan has finally been agreed upon by Israel and Hamas, bringing an end to two years of devastating violence in Gaza. The ceasefire that has come out of this agreement is a welcome development, with humanitarian aid starting to trickle into the territory and hostages being released. However, beneath the surface of these developments lies a complex web of unresolved issues that could yet unravel the entire plan.
At its core, the Trump plan's failure to specify a timeline for Israel's withdrawal from Gaza raises significant concerns about the ceasefire's long-term viability. Despite agreeing to pull back in stages, Israel will still control more than half of the territory, including the Philadelphi corridor adjacent to Gaza's border with Egypt - a key demand made by Hamas. Disputes over the pace and extent of this withdrawal could jeopardize the entire agreement.
Furthermore, the plan's vagueness on issues such as disarmament and the deployment of an international stabilisation force (ISF) in Gaza is particularly worrying. Hamas has long insisted that Israel must leave all of Gaza as part of any ceasefire deal, but the Trump plan falls short of this commitment. The lack of monitoring and verification provisions for these key issues only adds to the uncertainty.
The absence of trust between Hamas and Israel makes these disputes even more likely to escalate into violence. Yechiel Leiter's statement that Israel would remain in Gaza until Hamas disarms fully is a stark reminder of the deep-seated mistrust between the two parties. Netanyahu's vow to resume the war if Gaza isn't "demilitarised" only adds to this sense of unease.
The international community's willingness to support the Trump plan without providing concrete commitments on key issues such as the ISF further undermines its credibility. If Israel were to begin intervening in Gaza again, citing security threats, it's hard to imagine the ISF resisting - a scenario that could rapidly destabilize the entire region.
In conclusion, while the ceasefire in Gaza is a welcome development, the Trump plan's foundation remains fragile and susceptible to unraveling due to unresolved issues such as Israel's withdrawal from Gaza, disarmament, and the deployment of an international stabilisation force. Unless these concerns are addressed, the rest of the plan - including continued aid deliveries and economic reconstruction - may remain aspirational rather than achievable.