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US Gas Prices Set to Soar as OPEC Cuts Oil Production, Experts Warn
The surprise announcement by OPEC+ to slash oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels a day starting in May will soon be felt at US gas pumps, with prices potentially soaring.
According to energy analysts, the move is set to send Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, up about 6% in trading Monday. The impact on gasoline futures was immediate, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading.
Experts warn that gas prices could reach levels similar to those seen in late 2022, when oil prices surged due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The average US regular gas price at the time stood at $4.19 a gallon, with prices eventually peaking at $5.02 a gallon before declining slowly over several months.
However, energy analyst Tom Kloza notes that recent trends and factors such as the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases and improved oil production capacity have kept prices in check. The release of additional oil from the SPR could mitigate the impact of OPEC's cut, but Kloza warns that it may not be enough to offset the effects.
"A cut of 1 million barrels a day of oil by OPEC+ will not be easy to make up," he said. "But they have the ability to cut production and seem motivated to do so." Despite this, Kloza estimates prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in relatively short order.
By the summer, US drivers may see gas prices return to year-earlier levels, especially if there are disruptions affecting production along the Gulf Coast. However, experts caution that a hurricane or other storms could still impact prices, potentially pushing them above previous highs.
The surprise announcement by OPEC+ to slash oil production by more than 1.6 million barrels a day starting in May will soon be felt at US gas pumps, with prices potentially soaring.
According to energy analysts, the move is set to send Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, up about 6% in trading Monday. The impact on gasoline futures was immediate, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading.
Experts warn that gas prices could reach levels similar to those seen in late 2022, when oil prices surged due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The average US regular gas price at the time stood at $4.19 a gallon, with prices eventually peaking at $5.02 a gallon before declining slowly over several months.
However, energy analyst Tom Kloza notes that recent trends and factors such as the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases and improved oil production capacity have kept prices in check. The release of additional oil from the SPR could mitigate the impact of OPEC's cut, but Kloza warns that it may not be enough to offset the effects.
"A cut of 1 million barrels a day of oil by OPEC+ will not be easy to make up," he said. "But they have the ability to cut production and seem motivated to do so." Despite this, Kloza estimates prices could reach $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in relatively short order.
By the summer, US drivers may see gas prices return to year-earlier levels, especially if there are disruptions affecting production along the Gulf Coast. However, experts caution that a hurricane or other storms could still impact prices, potentially pushing them above previous highs.