Polls are getting increasingly tight in the final stretch of the NYC mayoral race, with a crowded field of candidates vying for the top spot. As five million registered voters prepare to cast their ballots on November 4, Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani is leading the pack with 46.1% of the vote, followed closely by independent Andrew Cuomo at 31.8%. Republican Curtis Sliwa trails behind with a significantly lower share.
However, late on Monday, Cuomo received surprise endorsements from former President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk, which could potentially sway voters in his favor. It's unclear whether these last-minute endorsements will have the desired impact, given the razor-thin margins between Mamdani and Cuomo in most polls.
Mamdani has energized liberal voters with his proposals for universal, free childcare, free buses, and a rent freeze for over a million New Yorkers living in rent-regulated apartments. In contrast, Cuomo's campaign has focused on more traditional Democratic platform issues, while Sliwa has been pushing for law enforcement reform and border security.
The three-way dynamic between progressive, establishment, and conservative forces makes this year's contest particularly unique. Last year's mayoral election saw a landslide victory for Mamdani, who won by a significant margin despite being the underdog candidate at the start.
Polls are inherently uncertain, with margins of error ranging from a few points to several. While aggregating different results can help reduce bias, they were also wildly off about Cuomo winning the Democratic primary earlier in the year, largely predicting a comfortable win for Mamdani instead.
So how do polls work? Polling organizations like Emerson College, Marist College, and Quinnipiac University regularly conduct public opinion surveys to gauge voter sentiment. Surveys use random sampling methods, including phone, text, or online contacts, asking respondents about their candidate preferences, key issues influencing their vote, and approval ratings.
Poll results include margins of error and sample sizes, which aid in interpreting accuracy and the fidelity of findings. However, some polls have been historically inaccurate, particularly when it comes to Democratic primaries.
As for how voting works, unlike the primaries, the general election uses a first-past-the-post system, where whoever gets the most votes wins. There were over five million registered voters in New York City as of February, with 65% identifying as Democrats and 11% as Republicans. However, voter registration closed on October 25, just one week before the November 4 election.
To be eligible to vote, residents must meet certain criteria, including being a U.S. citizen, residing in NYC for at least 30 days, and being at least 18 years old. Polling stations will be open from 6am to 9pm on Election Day, with varying hours depending on the location.
As the final countdown begins, voters must weigh their options carefully, considering the candidates' proposals and track records.
However, late on Monday, Cuomo received surprise endorsements from former President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk, which could potentially sway voters in his favor. It's unclear whether these last-minute endorsements will have the desired impact, given the razor-thin margins between Mamdani and Cuomo in most polls.
Mamdani has energized liberal voters with his proposals for universal, free childcare, free buses, and a rent freeze for over a million New Yorkers living in rent-regulated apartments. In contrast, Cuomo's campaign has focused on more traditional Democratic platform issues, while Sliwa has been pushing for law enforcement reform and border security.
The three-way dynamic between progressive, establishment, and conservative forces makes this year's contest particularly unique. Last year's mayoral election saw a landslide victory for Mamdani, who won by a significant margin despite being the underdog candidate at the start.
Polls are inherently uncertain, with margins of error ranging from a few points to several. While aggregating different results can help reduce bias, they were also wildly off about Cuomo winning the Democratic primary earlier in the year, largely predicting a comfortable win for Mamdani instead.
So how do polls work? Polling organizations like Emerson College, Marist College, and Quinnipiac University regularly conduct public opinion surveys to gauge voter sentiment. Surveys use random sampling methods, including phone, text, or online contacts, asking respondents about their candidate preferences, key issues influencing their vote, and approval ratings.
Poll results include margins of error and sample sizes, which aid in interpreting accuracy and the fidelity of findings. However, some polls have been historically inaccurate, particularly when it comes to Democratic primaries.
As for how voting works, unlike the primaries, the general election uses a first-past-the-post system, where whoever gets the most votes wins. There were over five million registered voters in New York City as of February, with 65% identifying as Democrats and 11% as Republicans. However, voter registration closed on October 25, just one week before the November 4 election.
To be eligible to vote, residents must meet certain criteria, including being a U.S. citizen, residing in NYC for at least 30 days, and being at least 18 years old. Polling stations will be open from 6am to 9pm on Election Day, with varying hours depending on the location.
As the final countdown begins, voters must weigh their options carefully, considering the candidates' proposals and track records.
it's like they're trying to make him the underdog candidate 
what if these last-minute endorsements are actually just a way for them to distract people from their own campaign issues? Mamdani's got some solid proposals going on, but can he really deliver on all that free stuff 
I'm still keeping an eye on this one 
. Both Mamdani and Cuomo have solid plans, but let's be real, it's gonna come down to who can sway those undecided voters 
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. Cuomo needs to convince his base that he's more than just a traditional Dem 
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hot 
. Who do you think's got the best shot? 
. And it's not just the primaries either, there have been some pretty wild misfires too.
It's also kinda weird that they're only talking to 5 million registered voters and ignoring all the others who wanna vote. Shouldn't everyone get a say in this? And what about those last-minute endorsements, do you think it's gonna make a difference? I mean Cuomo got Trump and Musk on board which is like super big deal 
. And what's up with Sliwa's campaign? Law enforcement reform and border security might not be the most popular issues in NYC 
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. Like, what's he trying to achieve by throwing his hat into the ring at this late stage? It's probably just gonna ruffle some feathers and make people wanna vote for Mamdani just because Trump and Musk are backing him. And let's be real, Cuomo's been doing the same old thing for years - it's time for something new! 
I'm all about that progressive vibe, so I think Mamdani's got this one in the bag 
. Bring on November 4th and let's get this NYC mayoral election underway! 
, especially during Democratic primaries. Can we really trust these results? Shouldn't we just wait and see how it all plays out on Election Day?
. I'm still keeping an eye on Sliwa, though - law enforcement reform is something we really need in NYC 
. Only a few weeks left until November 4... can't wait to see how it all plays out 
. Mamdani's got a solid platform on his hand, but is it enough to seal the deal? 
and cus, elon musk just threw his support behind andrew cuomo, we'll see how that shakes out 
, but Cuomo's got some big shoes to fill with Trump and Musk backing him out of the blue 
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, but that was with a more conservative field. This time it's like the whole NYC is divided into three camps 
. Still, one thing's for sure – whoever wins, they're gonna have to listen to their constituents 
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. It's like they're trying to make us think that Cuomo's endorsement from Trump is going to magically change the game for him. Meanwhile, Mamdani's still got the liberal voters on lock 
. And don't even get me started on Sliwa... I mean, what's his platform again? 
I've seen some polls say one person is voting for Zohran and another says Andrew Cuomo, but then they're like 2 points apart... how do we know which one is right? 
. but at the same time Cuomo's got some serious weight behind him with Trump and Musk on board 
that's gotta count for something. i'm still on the fence though, Sliwa's law enforcement reform stance has some merit but it's all about who can bring home the goods 
... it was a piece of cake! You just walked into the polling station, filled out a ballot, and voilà! Now it's like a whole different ball game 
. But hey, we'll see how it all plays out on November 4 
...
, which is kinda awesome, right? i mean, it shows people care 
. zohran mamdani's got 46.1% of the vote, which is dope 
. some ppl might like free childcare, buses, and rent freeze 
, while others are more into law enforcement reform and border security 
. it's all about finding that balance 
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. they try to reduce bias by using different methods, but, like, polls can be off too